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Red75
125736.8
403516.1
428518.5
Blue64
162631.3
140330.2
447513.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63590501001507564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.6
32.232.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 5.4
31.30.4
25.626.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.0
End5.5
Second
4285
#29
18.50.6
14.515.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.5
End2.8
blue by 11.7
30.20.4
24.424.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
Third
4035
#25
16.10.6
14.214.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.2
End0.8
red by 2.6
4475
#28
13.40.4
8.08.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed