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Red75
573211.5
19336.4
198932.5
Blue102
86939.6
167214.5
181133.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728305010015020075102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#5
36.40.2
34.734.9
Auto9.6
Teleop21.1
End5.7
blue by 3.2
869
#13
39.61.5
34.536.0
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
Second
1989
#11
32.50.4
24.925.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
blue by 0.6
33.11.5
31.032.5
Auto6.7
Teleop22.6
End3.8
Third
5732
#34
11.50.2
12.012.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End2.2
blue by 3.0
1672
#36
14.52.6
13.315.9
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed