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Red87
331436.2
428120.8
601518.2
Blue77
127926.4
334019.5
218017.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685701001502002503003504008777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#12
36.21.5
32.934.3
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 9.7
1279
#20
26.41.3
23.725.0
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End4.0
Second
4281
#24
20.81.5
15.917.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 1.3
3340
#18
19.51.3
16.417.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Third
6015
#31
18.21.5
16.217.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
red by 0.8
2180
#37
17.41.3
17.418.7
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed