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Red65
167214.5
198932.5
127926.4
Blue107
589533.8
314229.5
351520.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656540506070809010011065107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1989
#11
32.50.1
25.325.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
blue by 1.3
33.85.3
23.929.2
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End3.4
Second
1279
#20
26.40.1
25.024.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End4.0
blue by 3.1
3142
#27
29.53.2
21.324.5
Auto6.4
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Third
1672
#36
14.50.1
15.915.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.8
End1.5
blue by 5.5
3515
#19
20.03.2
14.217.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed