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Red36
257717.7
71417.7
61321.9
Blue77
428518.5
601518.2
573211.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564501001502003677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
613
#23
21.91.1
19.518.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 3.4
4285
#29
18.51.5
15.116.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Second
2577
#33
17.71.1
14.713.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End3.1
blue by 0.6
6015
#31
18.21.5
17.619.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Third
714
#26
17.71.8
18.116.3
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.6
red by 6.2
5732
#34
11.51.5
12.313.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed