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Red96
218017.4
2544.9
61321.9
Blue88
162631.3
22426.4
562433.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68696570758085909688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
44.92.0
37.139.1
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.6
red by 11.6
5624
#17
33.21.1
28.429.5
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Second
613
#23
21.92.0
15.017.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2
blue by 9.4
31.31.1
21.822.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.0
End5.5
Third
2180
#37
17.42.0
14.316.3
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End3.0
blue by 9.0
224
#16
26.41.1
16.617.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned