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Red54
428518.5
351520.0
181133.1
Blue33
601518.2
531018.0
22325.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5551354045606570755433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.2
28.628.4
Auto6.7
Teleop22.6
End3.8
red by 7.6
223
#22
25.51.2
20.919.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.2
End3.5
Second
3515
#19
20.00.2
11.010.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End1.7
red by 1.8
6015
#31
18.21.2
17.316.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Third
4285
#29
18.50.2
13.112.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.5
End2.8
red by 0.5
5310
#32
18.01.2
12.010.9
Auto1.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed