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Red86
2544.9
71417.7
22426.4
Blue80
601518.2
19336.4
127926.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97830501502008680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
44.90.4
47.246.8
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.6
red by 8.5
193
#5
36.40.2
36.035.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.1
End5.7
Second
224
#16
26.40.4
24.323.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.3
End0.8
blue by 0.1
1279
#20
26.40.2
25.625.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End4.0
Third
714
#26
17.70.6
20.419.8
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.6
blue by 0.6
6015
#31
18.20.2
20.820.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed