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Red52
573211.5
334019.5
83433.2
Blue87
351520.0
140330.2
61321.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7172556065758085905287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#3
33.21.1
33.332.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.1
End4.9
red by 3.0
30.20.2
28.328.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
Second
3340
#18
19.51.1
21.620.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 2.4
613
#23
21.90.2
20.220.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Third
5732
#34
11.51.1
13.912.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End2.2
blue by 8.5
3515
#19
20.00.2
21.221.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed