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Red90
43323.9
434230.0
218022.4
Blue108
495432.6
108941.2
593823.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612805010015020090108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
Unranked
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End5.4
blue by 11.1
1089
Unranked
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
Second
433
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 8.8
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
2180
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
blue by 1.4
5938
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5