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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Duel on the Delaware
Red101
43323.9
434230.0
218022.4
Blue119
495432.6
108941.2
593823.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86128050100150200250300101119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
Unranked
30.00.0
30.0→30.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End5.4
blue by 11.1
1089
Unranked
41.20.0
41.2→41.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
Second
433
Unranked
23.90.0
23.9→23.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 8.8
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.6→32.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Third
2180
Unranked
22.40.0
22.4→22.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
blue by 1.4
5938
Unranked
23.80.0
23.8→23.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5