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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Duel on the Delaware
Red168
457527.5
30337.3
31622.0
Blue113
121831.9
36929.0
27119.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116100050150200250300168113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
37.30.0
37.3→37.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
red by 5.4
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.9→31.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Second
4575
Unranked
27.50.0
27.5→27.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 1.5
369
Unranked
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Third
316
Unranked
22.00.0
22.0→22.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End2.8
red by 2.4
271
Unranked
19.60.0
19.6→19.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End5.0