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Red94
43323.9
495432.6
108941.2
Blue52
121831.9
164728.5
171927.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103880501502009452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
red by 9.2
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Second
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 4.2
1647
Unranked
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Third
433
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 3.1
1719
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds7%Capture odds