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Red91
164037.3
162632.4
31622.0
Blue61
81619.3
511332.2
53322.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98730501502009161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
red by 5.0
5113
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Second
1626
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 9.7
533
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Third
316
Unranked
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End2.8
red by 2.7
816
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds70%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds2%Capture odds