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Red60
593823.8
457527.5
450531.8
Blue93
30337.3
531018.0
394124.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86822040601001201401606093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
blue by 5.5
303
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Second
4575
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
red by 2.6
3941
Unranked
24.90.0
24.924.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Third
5938
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
red by 5.8
5310
Unranked
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto1.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds21%Capture odds