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Red76
218022.4
542021.5
36549.5
Blue70
27119.6
111131.1
260734.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98860501502007670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto12.8
Teleop28.8
End7.9
red by 15.3
2607
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Second
2180
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
blue by 8.7
1111
Unranked
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Third
5420
Unranked
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
red by 1.9
271
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds3%Capture odds