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Red34
540138.0
450531.8
162632.4
Blue103
434230.0
171927.0
43323.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107905015020034103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
Unranked
38.00.0
38.038.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.6
End8.3
red by 8.0
4342
Unranked
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.1
End5.4
Second
1626
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 5.4
1719
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Third
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
red by 8.0
433
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
68%Capture odds9%Capture odds