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Red99
545722.1
542021.5
30337.3
Blue71
495432.6
36929.0
81619.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8483607080901009971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
red by 4.7
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Second
5457
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End4.5
blue by 7.0
369
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Third
5420
Unranked
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
red by 2.2
816
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
13%Capture odds1%Capture odds