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Red138
4128.1
19327.9
457332.4
Blue98
562428.4
125729.3
167625.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10010440608012014016018013898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#22
32.40.4
31.531.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
red by 3.1
1257
#10
29.30.1
29.229.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.5
End4.4
Second
41
#17
28.10.4
27.227.6
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 0.3
5624
#12
28.40.1
28.328.2
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End3.5
Third
193
#7
27.90.4
27.127.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 2.6
1676
#13
25.30.1
25.325.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End4.1