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Red128
4128.1
19327.9
457332.4
Blue135
562428.4
125729.3
167625.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011046080120140160128135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#22
32.40.5
31.932.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
red by 3.1
1257
#10
29.30.2
29.129.3
Auto6.3
Teleop18.5
End4.4
Second
41
#17
28.10.5
27.628.1
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 0.3
5624
#12
28.40.2
28.228.4
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End3.5
Third
193
#7
27.90.5
27.527.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 2.6
1676
#13
25.30.2
25.225.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End4.1