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Red51
167632.5
19337.5
29323.5
Blue132
201632.4
219121.6
22556.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93117020030040050051132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
Unranked
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
blue by 19.0
225
Unranked
56.50.0
56.556.5
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
1676
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
red by 0.1
2016
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.6
End4.6
Third
293
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5
red by 1.8
2191
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
13%Capture odds26%Capture odds