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Red108
542021.5
80623.5
589546.3
Blue73
22326.9
259049.3
445426.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91108020030040010873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
Unranked
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
blue by 3.0
2590
Unranked
49.30.0
49.349.3
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
Second
806
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End3.7
blue by 3.3
223
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End4.2
Third
5420
Unranked
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
blue by 5.3
4454
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds61%Capture odds