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Red94
7527.6
55525.3
53322.8
Blue112
465332.2
86947.4
30337.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912905010015020025030035040094112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
Unranked
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.0
End2.9
blue by 19.8
869
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
Second
555
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
blue by 12.1
303
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Third
533
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 9.5
4653
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds80%Capture odds