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Red95
495432.6
465332.2
259049.3
Blue155
86947.4
164044.3
29323.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117119020030040050095155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
Unranked
49.30.0
49.349.3
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
red by 1.9
869
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
Second
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
blue by 11.7
1640
Unranked
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Third
4653
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.6
End4.2
red by 8.8
293
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds75%Breach odds
Capture
44%Capture odds32%Capture odds