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Red81
1127.8
445426.8
55525.3
Blue101
167632.5
457527.5
121831.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8097020030040081101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 4.7
1676
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
Second
4454
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 5.1
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Third
555
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End3.6
blue by 2.3
4575
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds23%Capture odds