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Red112
140331.1
475029.0
436125.3
Blue199
5637.1
589541.3
4128.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313050150112199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#16
31.10.1
31.131.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End5.4
blue by 10.3
41.30.7
39.640.3
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Second
29.00.1
29.029.1
Auto11.2
Teleop13.6
End4.2
blue by 8.2
56
#11
37.10.7
35.436.2
Auto9.2
Teleop22.8
End5.1
Third
4361
#23
25.30.1
25.325.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
blue by 3.5
41
#26
28.80.7
27.127.8
Auto8.3
Teleop16.1
End4.3