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Red116
86944.1
363732.3
27225.2
Blue107
22237.6
19034.8
620319.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13311250100150200116107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#3
44.10.4
44.844.4
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End12.2
red by 6.6
222
#14
37.60.2
37.737.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.4
Second
32.30.4
33.032.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End5.1
blue by 2.5
190
#4
34.80.2
35.034.8
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.6
Third
272
#19
25.20.4
25.825.5
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End3.6
red by 5.8
6203
#37
19.30.2
19.519.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9