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Red80
5637.1
4128.8
218022.4
Blue101
20426.0
30336.3
180720.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887905010015080101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#11
37.10.3
35.234.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.8
End5.1
red by 0.8
303
#1
36.31.5
36.337.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.5
Second
41
#26
28.80.3
28.127.8
Auto8.3
Teleop16.1
End4.3
red by 2.8
204
#8
26.01.5
22.323.8
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Third
2180
#21
22.40.3
20.820.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End4.6
red by 2.2
1807
#25
20.21.5
19.821.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned