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Red110
568431.7
22237.6
599217.9
Blue103
10324.2
589541.3
42325.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8090050150200250110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#14
37.61.4
33.935.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.4
blue by 3.8
41.31.1
37.338.5
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Second
31.71.4
28.229.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
red by 6.4
423
#36
25.31.1
24.325.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.8
End5.0
Third
5992
#33
17.91.4
17.118.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 6.2
103
#15
24.21.1
24.225.4
Auto4.4
Teleop15.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned36%Capture oddsEarned