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Red50
122822.2
108934.2
13616.8
Blue78
363732.3
457524.3
71417.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737250607080905078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#13
34.21.4
35.534.1
Auto11.5
Teleop19.4
End3.3
red by 1.9
32.30.5
31.632.1
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End5.1
Second
1228
#28
22.21.4
19.117.7
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End4.5
blue by 2.1
4575
#17
24.30.5
23.223.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Third
136
#35
16.81.4
15.814.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.9
blue by 0.6
714
#31
17.40.5
16.416.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed