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Red93
589541.3
568431.7
255421.6
Blue92
4128.8
566625.8
27225.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99710501509392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.0
38.938.9
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
red by 12.5
41
#26
28.80.6
26.527.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.1
End4.3
Second
31.70.0
31.031.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
red by 5.9
5666
#30
25.80.6
23.424.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.0
End5.6
Third
2554
#29
21.60.0
22.522.6
Auto8.1
Teleop9.8
End3.6
blue by 3.6
272
#19
25.20.6
23.023.6
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed