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Red76
13616.8
620319.3
10231.6
Blue108
19034.8
4128.8
589541.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62110020408010012014016076108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#12
31.60.3
31.431.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End5.6
blue by 9.7
41.30.5
39.139.6
Auto14.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Second
6203
#37
19.30.3
19.019.2
Auto7.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
blue by 15.5
190
#4
34.80.5
34.234.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.9
End5.6
Third
136
#35
16.80.3
16.516.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.9
blue by 12.0
41
#26
28.80.5
26.627.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsEarned