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Red42
428117.9
108930.1
20419.7
Blue40
201626.3
162621.8
249517.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6770405060804240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.13.8
23.319.5
Auto10.2
Teleop17.3
End2.6
red by 3.8
26.31.8
27.325.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End3.3
Second
204
#23
19.73.8
19.415.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 2.0
1626
#26
21.83.0
22.219.2
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Third
4281
#34
17.92.3
23.120.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End2.9
red by 0.4
2495
#36
17.51.8
17.715.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed