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Red50
86932.9
31619.2
315117.9
Blue46
127922.3
218014.3
36538.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72715055606575805046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#16
32.93.3
22.819.4
Auto3.6
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 6.0
365
#2
38.92.6
27.024.4
Auto9.9
Teleop19.1
End9.8
Second
316
#29
19.23.3
28.625.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 3.1
1279
#24
22.31.6
22.520.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Third
3151
#33
17.93.3
18.715.4
Auto2.1
Teleop12.4
End3.5
red by 3.7
2180
#38
14.32.6
19.917.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed