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Red52
164034.5
218014.3
122820.0
Blue76
10228.3
566621.8
542020.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57552040801005276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.2
24.524.4
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End4.2
red by 6.2
102
#7
28.31.4
17.719.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Second
1228
#28
20.00.2
12.912.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.4
End4.9
blue by 1.9
5666
#22
21.81.4
17.318.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End5.3
Third
2180
#38
14.30.3
17.317.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 6.5
5420
#12
20.81.4
18.820.2
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed