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Red61
272913.7
164723.6
315117.9
Blue101
316718.8
259037.3
457338.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4881020406010061101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1647
#11
23.60.3
22.122.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.5
End4.2
blue by 14.7
4573
#10
38.31.8
32.033.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End11.4
Second
3151
#33
17.90.5
15.415.9
Auto2.1
Teleop12.4
End3.5
blue by 19.4
37.31.8
27.729.5
Auto9.3
Teleop22.8
End5.2
Third
2729
#32
13.70.3
14.214.5
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 5.1
3167
#31
18.81.8
14.015.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed