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Red64
593821.4
566621.8
81618.5
Blue99
457522.1
86932.9
219121.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587701001506499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5666
#22
21.80.5
22.322.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End5.3
blue by 11.0
869
#16
32.91.6
28.330.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.4
End7.8
Second
5938
#21
21.40.3
18.318.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End4.8
blue by 0.7
4575
#27
22.11.6
23.825.4
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Third
816
#30
18.50.5
18.318.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End4.9
blue by 3.1
2191
#20
21.61.1
20.021.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed