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Red50
108930.1
542020.8
127922.3
Blue72
260018.8
122820.0
543820.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804501001505072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.12.2
32.230.0
Auto10.2
Teleop17.3
End2.6
red by 9.3
5438
#19
20.82.2
18.120.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.5
End4.5
Second
1279
#24
22.31.5
21.419.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
red by 2.4
1228
#28
20.01.5
14.215.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.4
End4.9
Third
5420
#12
20.82.2
19.217.0
Auto2.7
Teleop14.4
End3.8
red by 2.0
2600
#14
18.81.5
17.018.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned18%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed