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Red82
164034.5
511330.1
566621.8
Blue87
259037.3
495422.4
315117.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886602040801001201401608287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.0
29.829.8
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End4.2
blue by 2.8
37.31.3
32.934.2
Auto9.3
Teleop22.8
End5.2
Second
30.10.0
29.529.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End4.1
red by 7.7
4954
#25
22.41.7
19.421.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Third
5666
#22
21.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End5.3
red by 3.9
3151
#33
17.91.7
15.217.0
Auto2.1
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned