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Red91
81618.5
457338.3
162621.8
Blue78
622624.5
127922.3
475026.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7664020401001201401609178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#10
38.30.9
35.035.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.0
End11.4
red by 12.2
4750
#17
26.11.2
23.724.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Second
1626
#26
21.81.2
18.619.8
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 2.7
6226
#13
24.50.9
20.721.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.6
Third
816
#30
18.51.2
18.820.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End4.9
blue by 3.8
1279
#24
22.30.9
19.920.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed