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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Las Vegas Regional
Red174
84242.8
98755.2
396529.2
Blue103
151526.1
441526.2
254329.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1649350150200174103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
55.20.2
55.5→55.3
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End9.2
red by 25.5
2543
#25
29.70.2
29.9→29.7
Auto6.4
Teleop18.5
End4.8
Second
842
#11
42.80.2
43.1→42.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End6.3
red by 16.5
4415
#12
26.20.2
26.5→26.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.9
End3.1
Third
3965
#18
29.20.2
29.5→29.3
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
red by 3.0
1515
#31
26.10.2
26.3→26.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.9