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Red195
84242.8
98755.2
396529.2
Blue100
585132.3
501233.8
504923.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1629950150200250195100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
55.20.4
55.355.7
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End9.2
red by 21.4
33.80.3
34.634.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Second
842
#11
42.80.4
42.943.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End6.3
red by 10.5
5851
#21
32.30.3
33.132.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End5.2
Third
3965
#18
29.20.4
29.329.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
red by 5.6
5049
#28
23.60.3
24.524.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2