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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Las Vegas Regional
Red157
585132.3
501233.8
504923.6
Blue103
248635.2
320027.3
297226.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105114406080140160180157103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#4
33.80.3
33.8→34.1
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End6.5
blue by 1.4
2486
#15
35.20.2
35.5→35.4
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.2
Second
5851
#21
32.30.3
32.3→32.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End5.2
red by 5.0
3200
#5
27.30.2
27.6→27.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Third
5049
#28
23.60.3
23.6→23.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 3.1
2972
#29
26.70.2
27.1→26.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End4.3