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Red110
519933.4
6028.8
29526.7
Blue93
300933.7
301127.8
312827.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811605015020025011093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#17
33.40.0
33.633.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
blue by 0.3
3009
#10
33.70.4
34.734.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End11.4
Second
60
#8
28.80.0
29.029.0
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 0.9
3128
#13
27.90.4
28.928.5
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Third
295
#27
26.70.0
27.027.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End3.4
blue by 1.1
27.80.4
28.828.4
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End3.5