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Red80
177222.8
166117.4
254329.7
Blue71
580022.4
349132.2
615421.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62712040801001208071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#25
29.71.2
23.524.8
Auto6.4
Teleop18.5
End4.8
blue by 2.5
3491
#20
32.20.8
22.321.5
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End7.8
Second
1772
#30
22.82.1
20.222.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 0.4
5800
#33
22.40.8
23.923.1
Auto2.2
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Third
1661
#41
17.41.2
17.718.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 3.8
6154
#40
21.20.8
21.821.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed