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Red73
519933.4
504923.6
297226.7
Blue74
583115.3
98820.1
325540.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86780501001502002507374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#17
33.40.6
33.532.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
blue by 6.8
40.21.2
41.440.2
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Second
2972
#29
26.70.6
27.126.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End4.3
red by 6.6
988
#37
20.12.0
20.518.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End0.9
Third
5049
#28
23.61.0
21.420.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
red by 8.3
5831
#42
15.32.0
15.413.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed