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Red102
84242.8
177222.8
587520.1
Blue69
441526.2
396529.2
242915.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90702040608010012014016018010269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#11
42.80.8
42.143.0
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End6.3
red by 13.6
3965
#18
29.20.1
29.129.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
Second
1772
#30
22.81.4
22.323.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End2.4
blue by 3.4
4415
#12
26.20.1
24.224.1
Auto7.3
Teleop15.9
End3.1
Third
5875
#44
20.11.4
19.921.3
Auto2.5
Teleop13.6
End3.9
red by 4.5
2429
#45
15.60.1
17.517.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed