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Red72
504923.6
585132.3
583115.3
Blue82
480020.5
301127.8
151526.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64670501001507282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#21
32.30.6
29.029.7
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End5.2
red by 4.5
27.81.1
23.925.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End3.5
Second
5049
#28
23.61.0
20.421.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 2.5
1515
#31
26.11.1
21.823.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.9
Third
5831
#42
15.31.0
13.414.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 5.3
4800
#39
20.51.9
19.121.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed