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Red83
320027.3
501233.8
583115.3
Blue90
29526.7
580022.4
301127.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646140507080908390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.1
29.330.4
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End6.5
red by 6.0
27.82.7
19.121.8
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End3.5
Second
27.30.8
16.617.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End4.8
red by 0.6
295
#27
26.72.9
24.927.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End3.4
Third
5831
#42
15.31.7
15.316.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 7.1
5800
#33
22.43.4
22.419.0
Auto2.2
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed