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Red65
248635.2
59723.9
460323.1
Blue84
396529.2
312827.9
542933.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84720501001506584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#15
35.21.3
37.035.6
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.2
red by 2.1
5429
#16
33.10.2
19.519.7
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End5.4
Second
597
#35
23.91.3
22.120.7
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End5.5
blue by 5.3
3965
#18
29.20.2
23.523.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
Third
4603
#22
23.11.6
21.019.4
Auto8.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
blue by 4.9
3128
#13
27.90.2
29.129.2
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed